Source Credits:
- The Hindu, Editorial Analysis – June 22, 2025
- Down To Earth, Agriculture & Environment Sections
- The Indian Express, Explained Column – Climate Impact on Wheat, June 2025
Introduction
Climate change is no longer a distant environmental concern but a direct threat to food security in India and globally. Recent editorials highlight that rising temperatures are leading to smaller, lower-quality wheat grains, potentially jeopardizing the availability and affordability of food.
Wheat, a staple food for over 60% of Indians, is especially vulnerable during its grain-filling stage. The editorial calls for urgent reforms in climate-resilient agriculture, irrigation systems, and crop research to mitigate this unfolding crisis.
Impact of Climate Change on Wheat and Food Systems
1. Rising Temperatures Affect Grain Formation
- Research from ICAR and IARI shows that temperatures above 32°C during March–April reduce wheat grain size by 10–15%.
- The grain-filling period is shortened, lowering both yield and nutritional quality.
- India’s March 2024 heatwave caused an estimated 8–10% drop in wheat output, affecting procurement and exports.
2. Reduced Availability and Rising Prices
- Lower output reduces market availability and increases dependency on imports.
- Wheat prices surged by 14% in the last quarter due to lower rabi harvest and increased MSP.
- Urban and rural poor are most affected, increasing food insecurity and malnutrition risk.
3. Threat to India’s Food Security Architecture
- Rising input costs, falling yields, and erratic rainfall affect public distribution under NFSA.
- Buffer stocks with FCI are under stress due to repeated shortfalls and export bans.
- Could strain India’s global food aid programs and worsen regional hunger, especially in South Asia.
Broader Consequences
Issue | Impact |
---|---|
Inflation | Higher food prices affect headline inflation and monetary policy |
Nutrition | Protein and micronutrient quality of grains declines with heat stress |
Farmer Distress | Crop failures impact income, leading to debt and rural-urban migration |
Social Unrest | Food shortages have historically triggered unrest and protests |
Policy Recommendations
1. Climate-Resilient Cropping Systems
- Develop heat-tolerant, short-duration wheat varieties.
- Promote system of wheat intensification (SWI) and crop diversification in vulnerable regions.
2. Irrigation and Microclimate Management
- Expand micro-irrigation under PM Krishi Sinchai Yojana.
- Encourage use of shade nets, mulching, and zero tillage to reduce surface heat.
3. Early Warning and Insurance
- Deploy localized Agro-Meteorological Advisory Services (AMAS).
- Strengthen and expand PMFBY to cover heatwave-related yield losses.
4. Strengthening Food Stocks and Distribution
- Improve FCI storage infrastructure and promote decentralized procurement.
- Integrate real-time climate risk with PDS allocation planning.
UPSC Relevance
Prelims:
- Programs: PMKSY, PMFBY, NFSA
- Institutions: ICAR, IARI
- Wheat-growing regions in India
Mains – GS Paper 3:
- Climate change and agriculture
- Food security and inflation control
- Role of technology in sustainable agriculture
- Government initiatives for agri-resilience
Sample Mains Question
Q. Climate change is increasingly becoming a threat to India’s food security. Discuss its impact on wheat production and suggest measures to make Indian agriculture climate-resilient. (10 marks)
Conclusion
India’s food security, once considered robust due to strong procurement systems and minimum support prices, now faces climate-induced fragility. The editorial rightly calls for a paradigm shift in agricultural planning, with urgent attention to research, risk mitigation, and resilience-building. The future of India’s food system hinges not just on productivity, but on its ability to adapt.
Source Credits:
- The Hindu, “Rising heat, falling wheat” – Editorial, June 22, 2025
- Down To Earth, “How India’s grain belt is under stress” – Agriculture Focus
- The Indian Express, “Explained: Climate stress on wheat and what it means for India’s food system”
- How climate change affects India’s wheat production – The Hindu (March 18, 2025)
- India needs to mitigate the climate change threat to agriculture – Indian Express, June 5, 2025
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